1)
Dunn Pontiac has compiled the following sales data regarding the number of cars
sold over the past 60 selling days.
Answer the
following
questions for the sales data shown.
Dunn Pontiac Sales
Data
|
Number of Cars
Sold |
Number of Days |
|
0 |
5 |
|
1 |
5 |
|
2 |
10 |
|
3 |
20 |
|
4 |
15 |
|
5 or more |
5 |
|
Total |
60 |
Relative
Frequency Probability is used:
P(E)
= number of desired past observations
Total observations
a)
What is the probability that two cars are sold during a particular day?
The
events are mutually exclusive. If
two cars are sold in a day,
four
cannot be sold that day.
P(Exactly
2 cars sold) = Number of days two cars were sold
Total number of days
= 10 = 0.1667
60
b)
What is the probability of selling 3 or more cars during a particular day?
Let
X represent the number of cars sold.
P(
X
3 ) = P(3) + P(4) +
P(5 or more) = 20 + 15 + 5 = 40 = 0.67
60 60 60 60
c)
What is the probability of selling at least one car during a particular day?
Let
X represent the number of cars sold.
P(
X
1 ) = P(1) + P(2) +
P(3) + P(4) + P(5 or more) =
5 + 10 + 20 + 15 + 5 = 55 = 0.9166 = 0.92
60 60 60 60 60 60
A
faster way using the complement rule
i.e. 1 Ð probability of not selling any cars:
P(
X
1 ) = 1 Ð
P(0) = 1 Ð 5 = 1 Ð 0.08 =
0.92
60
2)
A local community has two
newspapers. The Morning Times is
read by 45% of the households. The
Evening Dispatch is read by 60% of the households. Twenty percent of the households read both papers. What is the probability that a
particular household reads at least one paper?
Note
that the group that reads both papers is being counted twice.
(percentages
add up beyond 100%)
Let
M = those reading the Morning Times,
E = those
reading the Evening Dispatch
P(
M or E) = P(M) + P(E) Ð P(M and E)
= 0.45 + 0.60 Ð 0.20 = 0.85
3)
Yesterday, The Bunte Auto Repair Shop received a shipment of four
Carburators. One is known to be
defective. If two are scheduled at
random and tested:
The
selection of 2 carburators are not independent events, because the selection of
the first removes it from consideration by the second (selection without
replacement).
a) What is the probability that neither
one is defective?
Let
G1 be the first "good" carburetor and G2 the second one.
P(G1
and G2) = P(G1)P(G2|G1)
3
2 =
6 = 0.5
4 3 12
b)
What is the probability that the defective carburator is
located
by testing two carburators?
This
means the defective carburator is located in the first test or the second test.
Let
D1 represent the defect in the first test and D2 that in the second test.
P(finding
the defect) = P(G1)P(D2|G1) +
P(D1)P(G2|D1)
=
3
1 + 1
3 =
0.5
4 3 4 3
4)
A Deli bar offers a special sandwich for which there is a choice
of
five different cheeses, four different meat selections, and three different
rolls. How many different sandwich
combinations are possible?
Number
of CMR = 5*4*3 = 60
5)
3 Scholarships are available for meritorious and needy students. Their values are $1,000, $1,200, and
$1,500. Twelve students have
applied and no student may receive more than one scholarship. Assuming the twelve students are
meritorious and needy, how many different ways can the scholarships be awarded?
nPr =
n! = 12! = 12*11*10*9! =
1320
(n-r)! (12-3)!
9!
Where
n = total number of applicants
r = number of scholarships
6)
The Basketball Coach at Dalton University is quite concerned about their 40
straight losses. (!) The frustrated coach decided to select
the starting lineup for the DU-UCLA game by drawing five names from the 12
available players at random.
(Assume that a player can play any position.) How many different starting lineups are possible?
nCr =
n! = 12! =
12*11*10*9*8*7!
= 11*2*9*4 =
792
r!(n-r)!
5!(12-5)! 5*4*3*2*1*7!
Where
n = total number of available players
r = number in the starting lineup